玉门市规划工业园区PM2.5和O3浓度预测: 基于WRF-Chem模型
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Prediction of PM2.5 and O3 Concentrations in the Planned Industrial Park of Yumen City: Based on the WRF-Chem Model
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    摘要:

    为了解规划项目建成后对玉门市及周边县市区的大气环境影响,通过WRF-Chem模型方法研究两种情景下建成后项目PM2.5和O3浓度,情景一和情景二下园区废气产生总量分别为3 127.75 t/a和5 112.74 t/a。结果表明:规划期常规污染物各环境敏感点O3叠加现状浓度后保证率下8 h平均浓度达标;情景一下PM2.5叠加现状浓度后保证率下日均浓度和年均浓度均达标;情景二下麻黄滩核心区、麻黄滩缓冲区及南山自然保护区实验区边界PM2.5叠加现状浓度后保证率下日均浓度和年均浓度有所超标,其他敏感点位达标。为了满足规划区的控制目标,建议执行更为严格的污染源削减措施,以保证PM2.5浓度可得到持续改善。

    Abstract:

    To understand and grasp the impact of the planned project on the atmospheric environment of Yumen City and the surrounding counties and cities after its completion, the WRF-Chem model method was used to study the PM2.5 and O3 concentrations in Yumen City after the completion of the project. Two scenarios were predicted. Scenario One, where the total amount of waste gas generated in the industrial park after the completion of the project is 3127.75 t/a, and Scenario Two, where the total amount of waste gas generated is 5112.74 t/a. The model simulation results indicate that during the planning period, the 8-hour average concentration of O3 at each environmentally sensitive point, when added to the current concentration, meets the standards under the guaranteed rate. Under Scenario One, both the daily average and annual average concentrations of PM2.5, when added to the current concentration, meet the standards. Under Scenario Two, the daily average and annual average concentrations of PM2.5 at the boundaries of the Mahuangtan core area, Mahuangtan buffer zone, and the experimental area of the Nanshan Nature Reserve exceed the standards when added to the current concentration, while other sensitive points meet the standards. To meet the control targets of the planning area, it is recommended to implement stricter pollution source reduction measures to ensure continuous improvement of PM2.5 concentrations.

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白婷,王振,蔡永会.玉门市规划工业园区PM2.5和O3浓度预测: 基于WRF-Chem模型[J].科技与产业,2025,25(12):196-205

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-30
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