基于等效柱体模型预测致密砂岩气藏产气量
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Gas Production Prediction for Tight Sand Gas Reservoir Based on Equivalent Cylinder Model
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    摘要:

    天府气田侏罗系沙溪庙组纵向上砂体叠置发育,产气层地层压力由浅至深差异大,压力系数从超低压、低压到常压均有分布。由于受到储层储集性、含气性和地层压力等因素的多重影响,导致此类气层产能预测的误差很大。为此,以天府气田致密气为对象,先根据产能主控因素划分气层产量级别,建立不同产量级别下的气层等效柱体模型,优选Redlich-Kwong状态方程,推导、计算地层条件下等效柱体内甲烷总质量,再依据总质量建立产气量预测模型,实现多压力系统气藏产能预测。研究结果表明:气层等效柱体模型综合研究区产能主控因素,经过理论推导与参数拟合构建一个半理论半经验产能预测模型,相比数理统计法更具理论推导意义;模型基于Redlich-Kwong状态方程,充分考虑了研究区地层条件和流体特征,有助于提高预测精度;结合实际数据对比多元回归法预测产气量,采用基于等效柱体模型的产能预测方法误差更小。

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    Overriding sand bodies of Jurassic Shaximiao Formation in Tianfu gas field are developed vertically, and the formation pressure of gas-producing layer varies greatly from shallow to deep. There are distributions of pressure coefficients from ultra-low pressure, low pressure to normal pressure. Due to the multiple influences of storage, gas-bearing property and formation pressure, the error of gas reservoir productivity prediction is always great. For this problem, taking the tight gas of Tianfu gas field as an example, gas reservoir production levels were divided according to the main factors of productivity firstly, and the equivalent cylinder model of gas reservoir under different production levels was established. According to the characteristics of gas reservoir, Redlich-Kwong equation of state was selected to deduce and calculate the total mass of methane in equivalent cylinder under formation conditions. Then, according to the total mass, a gas production prediction model was established to realize the productivity prediction of gas reservoir of multi-pressure system. And the following research results were obtained.The equivalent cylinder model of gas reservoir integrates the main factors of productivity in the study area, and a semi-theoretical and semi-empirical productivity prediction model is constructed through theoretical derivation and statistical analysis, which is more meaningful than mathematical statistics. Based on Redlich-Kwong equation of state, the model fully refers to the formation conditions and fluid characteristics in the study area, which is helpful to improve the prediction accuracy. Using actual data, compared with multiple regression method to predict gas production, the productivity prediction method based on equivalent cylinder model has smaller error.

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李权.基于等效柱体模型预测致密砂岩气藏产气量[J].科技与产业,2025,25(11):84-90

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-18
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