三元系统耦合对农业高质量发展的影响
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Impact of the Ternary System Coupling on Agricultural High-quality Development
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    摘要:

    农业高质量发展是新时代全面推进乡村振兴的迫切要求。运用基准回归模型和空间杜宾模型,阐释2010-2020年各省农业科技资源配置、农业科技创新、农业高质量发展构成的3组二元耦合关系和三元耦合关系的耦合度对农业高质量发展的影响。结果表明:整体来看,系统间耦合发展对农业高质量发展有显著推动作用,3组二元系统和三元系统的耦合度均显著促进农业高质量发展;分地区来看,4大经济区各系统耦合发展程度对农业高质量发展的影响不尽相同;空间计量回归结果显示,各系统耦合度对农业高质量发展的影响系数及空间滞后项系数均为正,表明各系统同步发展不仅会对本地的农业高质量发展产生积极影响,还有利于周边地区农业高质量发展。因此,要因地制宜发展农业新质生产力,充分调动各地区在科技经济融合中的独特优势,发挥不同系统互动对邻近地区农业高质量发展的空间溢出效应,加大农业科技领域供给侧结构性改革力度,提高农业科技资源配置效率。

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    Agricultural high-quality development (AHQ) is an urgent need for the comprehensive promotion of rural revitalization today.Benchmark regression and spatial Durbin models were employed to investigate the effects of the coupling degrees of three sets of binary and ternary relationships-formed by ASTR allocation, AST innovation, and AHQ-on AHQ across each province from 2010 to 2020.The findings indicate that, overall, the coupling development among these systems plays a significant role in promoting AHQ. Specifically, the coupling degrees of both the binary and ternary systems markedly boost AHQ. However, when analyzed regionally, the degree of system coupling development exerts varying impacts on AHQ across the four major economic regions. Spatial econometric regression results further reveal that the coefficients for the impact of system coupling on AHQ, along with the spatial lag coefficients, are positive. This implies that the synchronized development of these systems not only positively affects local AHQ but also catalyzes AHQ improvements in neighboring regions. Therefore, this study suggests fully leveraging the unique strengths of each region in the integration of science, technology, and the economy, accelerating new quality agricultural productivity, capitalizing on the spatial spillover effects of system interactions on AHQ in adjacent areas, intensifying supply-side structural reforms in the agricultural science and technology sector, and enhancing the efficiency of ASTR allocation.

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杨传喜,梁慧楠,秦辉.三元系统耦合对农业高质量发展的影响[J].科技与产业,2025,25(09):127-137

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-05-20
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