云南省旅游业碳排放与旅游经济脱钩关系分析
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Analysis on the Decoupling Relationship between Tourism Carbon Emissions and Tourism Economy in Yunnan Province
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    摘要:

    “双碳”背景下,全面厘清旅游业碳排放与旅游经济发展的动态脱钩关系,对于制定科学的旅游业碳减排政策具有重要意义。采用“自下而上”的旅游业碳排放测算方法,对云南省2010-2022年旅游碳排放量进行测算,在此基础上构建旅游经济与旅游业碳排放的Tapio脱钩模型,分析其脱钩关系。结果表明:2010—2019年云南省旅游业收入与旅游业碳排放呈现上升趋势,2020年二者大幅下降,2021-2022年云南省旅游收入呈现上升趋势,但旅游业碳排放总体呈现下降趋势,体现了云南省旅游业的低碳化发展;旅游交通碳排放对云南省旅游业碳排放的贡献率最大,研究期内平均占比达到78%,降低旅游交通碳排放是云南省旅游业低碳减排的关键;研究期内,云南省旅游业碳排放主要以弱脱钩为主,2006年与2022年出现优质的强脱钩情况,仅在2020年出现衰退连接态势,总体上反映了云南省在促进旅游业节能减排、低碳发展方面取得一定成效。

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    Under the background of “dual carbon”, it is of great significance to comprehensively clarify the dynamic decoupling relationship between tourism carbon emissions and tourism economic development for the formulation of scientific tourism carbon emission reduction policies. The "bottom-up" tourism carbon emission measurement method was used to measure the tourism carbon emissions in Yunnan Province from 2010 to 2022, and on this basis, the Tapio decoupling model of tourism economy and tourism carbon emissions was constructed, and the decoupling relationship was analyzed. The results show that from 2010 to 2019, tourism revenue and tourism carbon emissions in Yunnan Province showed an upward trend, and in 2020, they decreased significantly, and from 2021 to 2022, Yunnan Province's tourism revenue showed an upward trend, but the overall carbon emissions of tourism showed a downward trend, reflecting the low-carbon development of tourism in Yunnan Province. The contribution rate of tourism transportation carbon emissions to tourism carbon emissions in Yunnan Province is the largest, with an average proportion of 78% during the study period, and reducing tourism transportation carbon emissions is the key to low-carbon emission reduction of tourism in Yunnan Province. During the study period, the carbon emissions of tourism in Yunnan Province were mainly weakly decoupled, with high-quality strong decoupling in 2006 and 2022, and only in 2020, which generally reflected that Yunnan Province has achieved certain results in promoting energy conservation, emission reduction and low-carbon development of tourism.

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高宁睿,杨晓云.云南省旅游业碳排放与旅游经济脱钩关系分析[J].科技与产业,2025,25(03):158-163

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-02-25
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