碳中和目标下我国区域能源效率测算与节能减排潜力分析
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Regional Energy Efficiency Measurement and Energy Saving and Emission Reduction Potential Analysis under Carbon Neutrality
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    摘要:

    采用我国各省2011—2020年的面板数据,考虑不同投入和产出指标的径向和非径向特征,以及能源投入与非期望产出之间的不可分性,构建非期望产出的不可分混合数据包络分析(DEA)模型,测算我国各省份的全要素能源效率和节能减排潜力。研究发现:2011—2020年,我国总体全要素能源效率为0.725,各省份的全要素能源效率存在很大的差异性,能源效率最高的集中在广东、北京、江苏、上海等经济发达省份,能源效率最低的为内蒙古、山西、新疆与河北;从全国来看,节能潜力为40.7%,远远小于各种污染物的减排潜力;不同的省份节能潜力和减排潜力之间的差距不一样,大致可以分为以辽宁为代表的节能减排并举型和以江苏为代表的减排优于节能型两类。研究结果可为我国区域节能减排政策的制定提供一定的科学参考。

    Abstract:

    Using the panel data of each province in my country from 2011 to 2020, considering the radial and non-radial characteristics of different input and output indicators, as well as the inseparability between energy input and undesirable output, a hybrid data envelopment analysis(DEA) model with the inseparability of undesirable output is constructed to measure the total factor energy efficiency of each province in my country, and further calculate the energy saving and emission reduction potential. It is found that, the overall total factor energy efficiency average from 2011 to 2020 is 0.725.There are large differences in total factor energy efficiency among provinces. The provinces with the highest energy efficiency are concentrated in economically developed provinces such as Guangdong, Beijing, Jiangsu, and Shanghai. The provinces with the lowest energy efficiency are Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, Xinjiang and Hebei. From a national perspective, the energy saving potential is 40.7%, which is far less than the emission reduction potential of various pollutants. The gap between energy saving potential and emission reduction potential varies in different provinces. It can be roughly divided into two categories: the type represented by Liaoning that promotes both energy conservation and emission reduction, and the type represented by Jiangsu that prioritizes emission reduction over energy conservation. The research results can provide certain scientific reference for the formulation of regional energy conservation and emission reduction policies in my country.

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孟聪,蔡海霞.碳中和目标下我国区域能源效率测算与节能减排潜力分析[J].科技与产业,2024,24(11):35-40

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-06-25
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