农业高质量发展指标体系构建、测度及时空演变分析
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Analysis on the Evaluation Index System,Measurement and Its Evolution of Agriculture High-quality Development in Time and Space
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    摘要:

    为洞察农业高质量发展的时空差异及演进趋势,基于2005—2019年中国部分省份数据,立足“新发展理念”从“创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享”五维度构建农业高质量发展评价指标体系,运用加入时间变量的熵值赋权法对农业高质量发展指数进行测度,并利用ArcGIS10.8软件、Markov链分析方法对农业高质量发展进行时空演变分析。研究结果显示:农业发展在创新、协调、绿色、开放及共享方面都取得显著成效;整体上,在考察期内农业高质量发展水平逐步提升,但地区之间差异明显;在时空演变上呈现不同的演化格局,具有东部地区领先,中西部地区发展相对落后和迟缓的时空演化特征。总体呈现向高水平等级演化的趋势但动态演进速度缓慢。因此,要持续推进农业科技体制改革,切实提升农业高质量发展水平。

    Abstract:

    In order to gain insight into the spatio-temporal differences and evolution trends of high-quality agricultural development, based on the data of some provinces in China from 2005 to 2019, the evaluation index system is constructed of agriculture high-quality development with the "new development concept" from the five dimensions of "innovation, coordination, greenness, openness, and sharing", and analyzes the spatial and temporal evolution of agriculture high-quality development index with the entropy value assignment method by adding the time variable and the Markov chain analysis method. Besides the ArcGIS10.8 software and Markov chain analysis method are also used to analyze its spatial and temporal evolution. The results show that agricultural development has been remarkable in terms of innovation, coordination, greening, openness and sharing. Overall, the agriculture high-quality development level has gradually increased during the study, but there are differences in the gradient of decreasing between regions; the spatial and temporal evolution shows a different evolution pattern with characteristics of the eastern region leading, and the central and western lagging behind and slowing down in their development. There is a general trend towards a high level of development, but the pace of dynamic evolution is slow. Therefore, it is necessary to continuously promote the reform of agricultural science and technology system, and effectively enhance the level of agriculture high-quality development.

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杨传喜,刘文博.农业高质量发展指标体系构建、测度及时空演变分析[J].科技与产业,2023,23(19):167-176

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-10-20
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