长江经济带旅游产业发展缩小城乡收入差距的门槛效应研究
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Research on the Threshold Effect of the Development of Tourism Industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt to Narrow the Income Gap between Urban and Rural Areas
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    摘要:

    城乡收入差距是制约长江经济带地区实现共同富裕的重要因素,近年来长江经济带地区旅游产业蓬勃发展,其是否显著缩减了城乡收入差距得到了较多关注。运用长江经济带110个地级市2005—2020年的面板数据,首先进行全局空间相关性检验,然后构建空间滞后模型,最后运用面板门槛回归模型检验旅游业发展是否对城乡收入差距存在非线性效应。主要得到如下两个基本结论:第一,经过全局空间相关性检验存在空间相关性的前提下,长江经济带地级市旅游产业发展起到了显著缩小城乡收入差距的作用。第二,选用旅游业发展、区域经济发展和城镇化发展作为门槛变量,检验结果表明旅游产业发展对城乡收入差距的影响都表现为存在双重门槛效应,三个门槛变量均对城乡收入差距起到先扩大后缩小的倒“U”型变化规律。提出应不断挖掘旅游产业在缩小城乡居民收入差距中的发展潜力,持续提高经济发展水平,稳妥推进城镇化建设进程的对策建议。

    Abstract:

    The urban-rural income gap is an important factor restricting the realization of common prosperity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. In recent years, the tourism industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has been booming, and whether it has significantly reduced the urban-rural income gap has attracted more attention. Using the panel data of 110 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2005 to 2020, the global spatial correlation test was firstly conducted, and then the spatial lag model was constructed. Finally, the panel threshold regression model was used to test whether the tourism development has a nonlinear effect on the urban-rural income gap. The main conclusions are as follows: Firstly, under the premise of global spatial correlation test, the tourism industry development of prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has played a significant role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. Secondly, the development of tourism, regional economic development and urbanization are selected as the threshold variables. The test results show that the impact of tourism industry development on the urban-rural income gap shows a double threshold effect. The three threshold variables all play an inverted “U” type change rule of first expanding and then narrowing the urban-rural income gap. It is proposed that the development potential of tourism industry in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural residents should be continuously tapped, the level of economic development should be continuously improved, and the urbanization construction process should be steadily promoted.

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童淑囡,吴忠才.长江经济带旅游产业发展缩小城乡收入差距的门槛效应研究[J].科技与产业,2023,23(14):111-122

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-08-30
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