绿色金融的产业增长效应系统动力学模拟
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A System Dynamics Simulation on Industrial Growth Effect of Green Finance
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    摘要:

    构建一个连接碳减排、绿色产业增长与绿色金融发展的系统动力学模型。模拟分析表明:在保持一定经济增速的情况下,实现“双碳”目标是非化石能源占比不断上升、产业低碳发展效率持续提高的正反馈过程;绿色金融的产业增长效应在于动员多元融资主体参与及推动这一进程,支持绿色转型的基础设施超前建设、新产业的增量成长和绿色经济主体创新活动。推进绿色金融与产业发展的协同,构建一个打通产业、金融及居民群体,能够承载新型碳资产交易及生态产品定价机制形成的新市场生态,引导绿色消费观念和行为,扩大绿色市场需求,创造绿色低碳产业增长的规模化市场空间。

    Abstract:

    A system dynamics model connecting carbon emission reduction, green industrial growth and green financial development is constructed。The simulation analysis shows that, under the condition of maintaining a certain economic growth rate, the realization of the "double carbon" goal is a positive feedback process in which the proportion of non-fossil energy continues to rise and the efficiency of industrial low-carbon development continues to improve. The industrial growth effect of green finance is to mobilize multiple financing entities to participate in and promote this process, support the advanced construction of infrastructure for green transformation, the incremental growth of new industries and the innovation activities of green economic entities. Promoting the synergy between green finance and industrial development, and building a new market ecology that connects industry, finance and residents, can carry the formation of new carbon asset trading and ecological product pricing mechanism, guide green consumption concepts and behaviors, expand green market demand, and create a large-scale market space for the growth of green low-carbon industries.

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严力群,佘运九.绿色金融的产业增长效应系统动力学模拟[J].科技与产业,2023,23(03):52-61

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-04-11
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