长三角居民生活用电量时空差异及驱动因素研究
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Study on Temporal and Spatial Differences and Driving Factors of Household Electricity Consumption in Yangtze River Delta Region
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    摘要:

    以长三角为例,采用LMDI模型和M-R模型从时空视角将2009—2019年长三角居民用电差异的驱动因素分解为人口规模效应、人口城镇化效应、家庭规模效应、用电强度效应。研究发现:用电强度、家庭规模、人口规模是推动长三角居民用电量增加的因素,用电强度推动作用最大,人口城镇化抑制了用电量增加;长三角居民用电量的空间差异在逐渐扩大,人口规模是上海、江苏空间差异的关键驱动因素,浙江空间差异主要来源于农村较高的用电强度,安徽则是由于农村较低的用电强度。降低江苏和浙江用电强度,提高安徽城镇化程度和农村用电强度,研发和使用绿色建材和智能电器是控制长三角居民用电增长和缩小空间差异的关键路径。

    Abstract:

    Taking the Yangtze River Delta as an example, the LMDI model and M-R model were used to decompose the driving factors of household electricity consumption differences in the Yangtze River Delta from 2009 to 2019 into population size effect, population urbanization effect, household size effect and electricity consumption intensity effect from the perspective of time and space. The results show that power consumption intensity, household size and population size are the factors that promote the increase of residents' electricity consumption in the Yangtze River Delta, and power consumption intensity is the most important role, while population urbanization inhibits the increase of electricity consumption. Population size is the key driving factor that causes the spatial difference between Shanghai and Jiangsu. The spatial difference in Zhejiang mainly comes from the higher electricity intensity in rural areas, while that in Anhui is due to the lower electricity intensity in rural areas. Reducing electricity intensity in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, improving urbanization and rural electricity intensity in Anhui, and developing and using green building materials and smart appliances are the key paths to control the growth of household electricity consumption and narrow the spatial differences in the Yangtze River Delta.

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向丽红,向彩红.长三角居民生活用电量时空差异及驱动因素研究[J].科技与产业,2022,22(08):281-288

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-08-23
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