中国技术创新与产业结构升级的耦合协调关系研究——基于1995-2015年时序数据的测度分析
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Study on the China's Coupling Coordination Relationship between Technological Innovation and Industrial Structure——The measure analysis based on time series data from 1995 to 2015
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    摘要:

    技术创新能力是促进产业结构调整升级的强大动力,两者之间存在着相互联系、相互促进的良性互动关系。在精心构建技术创新能力与产业结构优化升级评价指标体系的基础上,综合运用熵值法和耦合协调度模型,基于1995-2015年的时序数据,对两者之间的耦合协调关系进行了较深入的实证分析和讨论。分析结果表明,1995-2015年间,特别是进入新世纪以来,中国技术创新能力与产业结构优化升级的综合评价指数以及两者间的耦合协调度总体上均呈现出稳步上升趋势,其中耦合协调度从1995年的0.323增加到2015年的0.643,从严重失调逐步演进到初级协调状态,但其整体耦合协调水平仍然偏低。为更好地促进两者间的协调发展,提出了若干对策建议。

    Abstract:

    Technological innovation capacity is a powerful driving force to promote the adjustment and update of industrial structure, there is a healthy interaction relationship of interrelation and mutual promotion between the two. On the basis of carefully constructing the evaluation index system of technological innovation ability and industrial structure optimization and upgrading, this article uses entropy method and coupling coordination degree model to deeply analyze and discuss the coupling coordination degree relationship between the two, based on time series data from 1995 to 2015. Analysis results show that, during the period of 1995-2015, especially in the new century, the comprehensive evaluation index of China's technological innovation capability and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure, and the coupling coordination degree between them have generally shown a steady upward trend. The coupling coordination degree increased from 0.323 in 1995 to 0.643 in 2015, from a serious disorder to a primary coordination state, but the overall coupling coordination degree is still low. In order to better promote the coordinated development between the two, which puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions.

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王章豹,魏多多.中国技术创新与产业结构升级的耦合协调关系研究——基于1995-2015年时序数据的测度分析[J].科技与产业,2018,(06):1-8

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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-08-09
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