城镇居民生活用水影响因素的实证分析——以成都市为例
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Empirical Analysis of Influencing Factors of Urban Residents' Domestic Water——Chengdu city as an example
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    摘要:

    通过分析影响城镇居民生活用水的因素,根据成都市城镇居民生活用水现状,采取城镇人口数﹑人均日生活综合用水量﹑人均可支配收入﹑水价4项具有代表性标量,通过平稳性检验和协整分析,采用科克伦—奥克特迭代法修正法建立回归模型。结果表明:①城镇居民用水人口数增加1%,用水需求则会上升0.943个百分点。②水价上升1%,居民对水的需求减少了0.016%,而居民收入增加同等的比例,用水需求则会上升0.232%。③城镇人口数对生活用水量的增长最显著作用,水价上涨对用水需求的抑制作用比收入增加对用水需求的拉动作用要小很多。为此为有效管理城镇居民生活用水,给出从完善阶梯水价、加强宣传、健全法规、推动节水技术等方面提出建议。

    Abstract:

    In this paper,by analyzing the influencing factors of urban domestic water, according to the present situation of chengdu urban residents living water and take integrated urban population, per capita daily life water consumption, per capita disposable income, water price four representative scalar, through stationarity test and cointegration analysis, using cochran -orcutt iterative correction method to establish the regression model.The results showed that:① urban population increased by 1%, water demand will rise by 0.943%.②Prices rose 1%, residents' demand for water decreased by 0.016%, and resident income increase the same proportion, demand will rise 0.232%.③the growth of urban population to the life water consumption is the most significant effect, inhibition rate increases the demand pull function on the water demand more than the income is much smaller.This paper for effective management of urban residents living water, from a given ladder water price, strengthening propaganda, perfecting laws and regulations, Suggestions to promote water-saving technology and so on.

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熊升银.城镇居民生活用水影响因素的实证分析——以成都市为例[J].科技与产业,2018,(01):92-97

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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-02-26
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