中国城乡居民信息消费新增效应和替代效应的实证研究
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Study on the Information Consumption Increasing Effect and Replacing Effect of China Urban and Rural Residents Based on the Empirical Method
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    摘要:

    基于中国城乡居民2002-2013年信息消费的省际面板数据,构建了信息消费效应估计的面板协整模型。在面板单位根检验和协整检验的基础上,运用FMOLS估计方法,对中国城乡居民信息消费效应进行了实证研究。在此基础上,对中国城乡居民信息消费效应的区域差异进行了对比。结果表明:城镇居民信息消费表现为替代效应,而农村居信息消费表现为新增效应;随着地区发展水平的提高,按照由西部、中部、东部的顺序,农村居民信息消费的新增效应逐渐下降,进而逐渐过渡到替代效应,但随着整体消费水平提高和消费结构的升级,城镇居民的替代效应呈现出先增强后减弱的趋势。

    Abstract:

    Based on the information consumption panel data of China provinces from 2002 to 2013, the models of panel co-integration to estimate information consumption effect are established. Firstly, the variables checking of the panel unit root and panel co-integration are applied. Then by using the estimating method of FMOLS, the information consumption effect of urban and rural residents is studied. By comparing the information consumption effect of regional difference, the results are obtained. The information consumption effect of urban residents shows the increasing effect and the rural residents’ shows the replacing effect. The increasing effect of rural residents is gradually decreased with the increasing of regional developing level, and then transits into replacing effect from the region of west, middle to east. However, with the increasing of information level and upgrading of information structure, the replacing effect of urban residents gradually presents the trend of firstly increasing, then decreasing.

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张肃.中国城乡居民信息消费新增效应和替代效应的实证研究[J].科技与产业,2016,(07):129-133

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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-07-21
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