国际产业转移、区域创新与经济增长的VAR模型研究——以广西为例
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International Industrial Transfer,Regional Innovation and Economy Growth-A Study Based on VAR Model of Guangxi
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    摘要:

    综合运用脉冲响应及方差分解,对国际产业转移、区域创新绩效与经济发展水平之间的关系进行了研究。结果表明:国际产业转移、区域创新与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系;国际产业转移和区域创新对经济增长存在正向冲击效应,并具有长期持续的积极贡献;且经济增长对区域创新的脉冲响应更为敏感。研究还发现国际产业转移对区域创新水平的提升具有显著短期溢出效应;在长期,经济增长对区域创新水平的贡献率逐渐提高。最后提出了相关对策建议。

    Abstract:

    A VAR model is founded base on the Time Series Data from 1990 to 2012 in Guangxi. Then the relationship among international industrial transfer,regional innovation and economy growth was analyzed by use of cointegration analysis, impulse response function and variance decomposition in this paper.The results show that there exist long term equilibrium among international industrial transfer,regional innovation and economy growth. The impulse responses are positive about regional innovation to international industrial transfer and economy growth,and the contribution is sustained,but the impulse responses of economy growth to regional innovation is more sensitive than that to international industrial transfer.The results also indicate that international industrial transfer has short-term spillover effects?on regional innovation,but the contribution of economy growth to regional innovation level is becoming more and more stronger in the long run. Finally,some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.

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高安刚,覃波.国际产业转移、区域创新与经济增长的VAR模型研究——以广西为例[J].科技与产业,2015,(06):10-15

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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-09-11
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