农业信贷对牧户增收的异质性影响——以内蒙古四个盟市为例
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Heterogeneity Influence of Agricultural Credit on the Income Increase of Pastoral Farmers: Taking the Four League Cities of Inner Mongolia as an Example
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    摘要:

    农业信贷是牧区经济发展重要的推动力,借贷行为在牧户中也非常普遍,部分牧户甚至以“借新还旧”的方式偿还贷款,因此探讨农业信贷对牧户增收的异质性影响具有重要意义。利用2020年涵盖内蒙古东中西部四个盟市的牧户调查数据,使用二阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)检验了农业信贷对牧户增收效应的异质性影响。结果表明,总体上农业信贷对牧户家庭纯收入的促进效应较为显著,主要作用于畜牧业收入和非畜牧业收入。对不同微观特征的牧户家庭农业信贷增收效应存在明显的异质性,对于畜牧业收入水平较高的牧户家庭信贷的增收效应较好;富有人力资本的牧户家庭信贷的增收效应较高;舍饲时长较短的牧户家庭中信贷的增收效果更为有效。在中介效应分析结果中,农业信贷会影响牧户家庭的牲畜规模,从而影响牧户家庭收入。针对以上结果,提出未来需进一步提升牧户金融素养,大力发挥普惠金融兜底,商业信贷助优的作用,加大牧户家庭的信贷支持力度等建议。

    Abstract:

    Agricultural credit is an important driving force for the economic development of pastoral areas, and the lending behavior is also very common among the herdsmen. Some herdsmen even repay the loans by means of “borrowing the new and returning the old”. Therefore, it is of great significance to explore the heterogeneous impact of agricultural credit on the income increase of the herdsmen. Using the survey data of pastoral farmers covering the four cities of Inner Mongolia in 2020, the two stage of least squares (2 SLS) was used to test the heterogeneous effect of agricultural credit on animal husbandry. The results show that the promotion effect of agricultural credit on the net income of pastoral households is relatively significant, mainly acting on livestock income and non-livestock income. There is obvious heterogeneity in the income effect of agricultural credit in pastoral households with different micro characteristics. It is better income effect of pastoral credit with higher income level, higher income effect of pastoral credit with rich human capital, and higher income effect of credit in pastoral households with short feeding time is more effective. In the results of the mediation effect analysis, agricultural credit can affect the livestock size of pastoral households and thus affect their income. In view of the above results, suggestions are put forward for further improving the financial literacy of pastoral families in the future, vigorously playing the role of inclusive finance and commercial credit, and increasing the credit support of pastoral families.

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周杰,贾云鹤.农业信贷对牧户增收的异质性影响——以内蒙古四个盟市为例[J].科技和产业,2025,25(10):212-219

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-06
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