乡村振兴战略下电商物流与农村经济协同发展的互动效应研究
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Research on the Interactive Effect of the Coordinated Development of E-commerce Logistics and Rural Economy under the Strategy of Rural Revitalization
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    摘要:

    选取1991—2020年中国农村电商物流和农村经济发展的时间序列数据,从经济发展、电商发展、建设基础、城乡社会统筹发展4个维度检验当前中国农村电商物流发展水平。结果发现,中国农村电商物流发展水平整体上呈稳步增长态势,指标权重的影响重要性依次排序为农村基础设施>城乡社会统筹发展>电商发展>经济发展。通过定量测算农村电商物流和农村经济发展的综合评价指数,构建向量自回归模型,对电商物流与农村经济发展的互动效应以及电商物流与农村经济发展的脉冲响应等进行定量分析,揭示出中国电商物流与农村经济发展具有长期稳定的均衡关系,电商物流与农村经济发展形成良性的和谐互动机制,验证出电商物流与农村经济发展之间存在双向因果关系。提出加大农村物流基础设施建设、鼓励农村电商集群发展、优化农村电商物流网络、培养农村物流优质人才、升级农产品物流技术等对策建议。

    Abstract:

    The time series data of China's rural E-commerce logistics and rural economic development from 1991 to 2020 is selected, and the current development level of China's rural E-commerce logistics is examined from four dimensions: economic development, e-commerce development, construction foundation, and urban and rural social development. The results show that the overall development level of China's rural E-commerce logistics shows a steady growth trend. The order of importance of the weight of each indicator is rural infrastructure > urban and rural social development > E-commerce development > economic development. By quantitatively measuring the comprehensive evaluation index of rural e-commerce logistics and rural economic development,VAR model is constructed to quantitatively analyze the interactive effect of E-commerce logistics and rural economic development and the impulse response of E-commerce logistics and rural economic development. The research results reveal that E-commerce logistics and rural economic development have a long-term stable equilibrium relationship, and form a benign harmonious interaction mechanism, and there is a two-way causal relationship between the two section. Based on this, some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward, such as increasing the construction of rural logistics infrastructure, encouraging the development of rural e-commerce clusters, improving the rural E-commerce logistics network, cultivating high-quality talents in rural logistics, and upgrading agricultural product logistics technology.

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王园,陈卉,张仪华.乡村振兴战略下电商物流与农村经济协同发展的互动效应研究[J].科技与产业,2022,22(08):79-87

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-08-23